Perched in the
Danger Zone

 

 

               Most people are worried about missing upside, not downside. 

 

               And usually to their detriment.

 

 

 

               The chart shows the two-year time period (1990-1992) that I made my biggest profit ever in real estate.  As shown HERE, my net profit was $600,000 – and my ROI was 100%. 

 

                Could I do something similar in today’s market?

 

                Maybe, but probably not.  Nor would I be eager to try. 

 

               First off, that same ordinary home I paid $500K for in 1990 would cost around $3.5 million today. Second, if I had to spend $300K to $400K to make that ordinary home beautiful and amazing, I would have to sell the property for almost $8 million to make the same 100% ROI as I did in the early 1990’s – and I doubt that would be possible.

 

               But after what I anticipate will be a sizable correction in California home prices, I would be willing to buy that home for $2 million, put $300K into it, and then sell it for $4.5 to $5 million a year or two later.

 

               Creating value in a low risk market.  It doesn’t get any better than that.

 

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